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2017年上半年中国电力市场展望

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2017年上半年中国电力市场展望

发布日期:2016-07-27 作者: 点击:

 2017年上半年中国电力市场展望

   2017年第一季度,中国电力领域继续恢复,创近6年来的新高。由于需求增加且新增容量增速放缓(特别是煤电和风电),现有电厂的负载系数提高、电力消纳降低。随着批发和零售电力市场改革的不断推进,需求响应和储能容量系统也出现了新的机会。

DIANLIGAIGEDESUDUGAOYUYUQI:ZI2015NIANQIDONGYILAI,ZHONGGUODIANLIXINGYEGAIGEFAZHANXUNSU,ZHONGGUOGESHENG(XIZANGCHUWAI)JUNZAICHANGSHIYIDINGXINGSHIDEPIFAHUOLINGSHOUDIANLISHICHANGZIYOUHUA。

北京快乐8官方网站ZHONGZUGUOYOUQIYE:JUBAODAO,ZHONGGUOZHONGYANGJIANGUANJIGOUZHENGZAIKAOLVZHONGZUZHONGGUOBAJIAZUIDADEDIANLIGONGSI,BINGJIANGZHEIXIEGONGSIZHONGXINCHUIZHIZHENGHEWEISANJIADAXINGDUOYANGHUAJITUAN,CONGERJIEJUEZHEIJIJIAGUOYOUQIYEJILULANGFEI、XIAOLVDIXIA、TOUZIHUIBAODIDEWENTI。GAIZHONGZUJIHUADENEIRONGBAOKUOQIANGZHIHEBING、ZHENGHEHEGUQUAN/ZICHANHUHUAN。CIWAI,ZHEIZHONGZHONGZUHAIKENENGKUOZHANDAOGANGTIE、LVHESHIHUACHANPINDENGZHONGGONGYEZHONG。

WUNIANJIHUADEZHOUQIXINGXUQIUFUSU:2016NIAN,ZHONGGUOGUOJIADIANLIZONGXUQIUTONGBIZENGZHANG5%,DIYIJIDUSHUJUGENGSHIBIAOSHENGDAO7%,CHUANGXIAJIN6NIANLAIDEZUIGAOZENGZHANGLV。WOMENYUCE,2017NIANDEDIANLIXUQIUZENGZHANGZAI6%ZUOYOU。CONGLISHILAIKAN,SUIZHEZIJINHEJICHUSHESHIJIANSHEDEDAOWEI,ZHONGGUODEJINGJIHUODONG,TEBIESHIGAONENGHAO、YONGDIANLIANGZUIDADEZHONGGONGYE,TONGCHANGHUIZAI“WUNIANJIHUA”ZHONGDEDIERNIANHEDISANNIANZHONGYOUSUOZENGQIANG。

XINZENGRONGLIANGZENGSUFANGHUAN:GUOQUJINIANZHONG,ZHONGGUOJIANGUANJIGOUYIZHIZAIBUYIYULIDIKONGZHIXINZENGRONGLIANGJIANSHE,XIANZAIZHONGYUKANDAOLENULIDECHENGGUO。SUIZHEXUQIUDEZENGJIA,FENGDIANHEGUANGFUXIAONAQINGKUANGHAOZHUAN,DUODIQUREDIANCHANGDERONGLIANGSHIYONGLVYOUSUOTIGAO。

北京快乐8官方网站MEIDIANCHANLIANGYUJIJIANGZAIJINNIANCHUANGXINGAO:2016NIAN,ZHONGGUODEMEIDIANCHANLIANGLVEYOUZENGJIA,DANRENGBUZUYIMIBU2015NIANDAYUE126TWhDEXIAJIANG。ZHEIYIWEIZHE,JISHI2016NIANDEMEIDIANCHANLIANGDADAO3895TWh,YERENGDIYU2013NIANCHUANGXIADEJINNIANLISHIZUIGAOJILU。RANER,2017NIANDIYIJIDU,ZHONGGUOMEIDIANCHANLIANGJIZENG。WOMENYUCE,ZHONGGUODEMEIDIANCHANLIANGJIANGZAI2017NIANCHUANGJINQIXINGAO。

太阳能和风能预测:彭博新能源财经预测,2017年的新增光伏装机将达到27-31GW,其中20GW将在上半年进行。我们同时预测,2017年,中国的新增陆上风电容量将达到20.4GW。未来三年,中国电力消纳情况较好的南部地区将每年新建约20-21GW的陆上风电容量。

CHUNENGRONGLIANGZANSHIKANBUDAOBUTIEDEKENENGXING:JINGUANXIANGMUKAIFASHANGYIZHIZAIJIJIYOUSHUO,DANZHONGGUOJIANGUANJIGOUSIHUBINGMEIYOUYIXIANGPIZHUNZHENDUICHUNENGXIANGMUDEZHUANXIANGBUTIE。ZHEILIDEZHUYAOZHANGAIZAIYU,ZHONGGUODEBUTIEJIJINYIJINGCHIZI300YIYUAN,GENBENMEIYOUZIJINWEICHUNENGXIANGMUTIGONGBUTIE。

XUQIUXIANGYINGKENENGBAOFA:ZHONGGUOXUQIUCEGAIGEYIJINGBANSUIGONGSHANGYELINGYUKAIQI,ERGONGSHANGYEYONGHUDEDIANLIXUQIUZHANZONGDIANLIXUQIUDEJINSANFENZHIER。PENGBOXINNENGYUANCAIJINGYUCE,ZHONGGUODEXUQIUXIANGYINGSHICHANGKENENGJIANGZAI2020NIANDADAO57GW,GUIMOWEIDANGXIABEIMEIXUQIUXIANGYINGSHICHANGDE2BEI。

YIXIASHIWOMENTONGJIDAODEJIZUSHUJU:

17%

JINGGUOSHICHANGJIAOYIDEZONGDIANLIXIAOLIANGBILI

6.9%

2017NIANDIYIJIDUDIANLIXUQIUZENGZHANG

71TWH

北京快乐8官方网站2017NIANGUOWANGYUJIFENGDIANJIGUANGFUDEXIANDIANLIANG

YUANBIAOTI:2017NIANSHANGBANNIANZHONGGUODIANLISHICHANGZHANWANG 


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